Insights

Each month we share the conclusions from the monthly strategy investment committee which provides a summary of Ostrum’s views on the economy, strategy and markets. 

US inflation (CPI) came in in line with expectations at 6.5% year on year in December. The monthly decrease in the headline CPI index amounts to 0.1%m. Energy contributed negatively (most notably gasoline), but piped gas service (+3%m) did not yet reflect the fall in prices observed on the natural gas futures markets. As a result, electricity costs increased by 1%m in December. Inflation excluding energy and food rose by 0.3%m in December and reached 5.7% year on year. Disinflation remains curbed by housing, which will take into account the already visible adjustment in rents and real estate prices (via owner-equivalent rents) several months later. The prices of medical care services, which fell significantly in October-November, are stabilizing. Used car prices keep falling despite a slight rise in prices at used car auctions in December.

Every month, find out all about the sustainable market bonds news in our newsletter « MySustainableCorner ».

Every month, find out all about the sustainable market bonds news in our newsletter « MySustainableCorner ».

A moderate recession is likely, opportunities among fixed-income markets and relative caution in European equities After a particularly turbulent year in 2022, Ostrum Asset Management’s (Ostrum AM) experts are expecting a moderate recession in 2023. However, investors may be able to capitalise on investment opportunities and attractive entry levels in the markets, particularly in fixed-income and credit. With the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, extreme caution is required in stock picking. Philippe Waechter, Chief Economist, Stéphane Déo, Head of Market Strategy, Alexandre Caminade, CIO Core Fixed Income & Liquid Alternatives, Philippe Berthelot, CIO Fixed Income and Frédéric Leguay, Head of Equity Investments, present their views on the economy and on which markets and investment strategies to prioritise in order to find value in 2023.

Each month we share the conclusions from the monthly strategy investment committee which provides a summary of Ostrum’s views on the economy, strategy and markets. 

Every month, find out all about the sustainable market bonds news in our newsletter « MySustainableCorner ».

Each month we share the conclusions from the monthly strategy investment committee which provides a summary of Ostrum’s views on the economy, strategy and markets. 

Every month, find out all about the sustainable market bonds news in our newsletter « MySustainableCorner ».

The European Central Bank announced a hike of 75 basis point in its deposit facility rate on September 8, 2022, after a first one of 50 basis point in July. These increases could be an opportunity for investors on money market funds who benefit now from positive rates after several years of negative rates.

Everyone agrees on the need to take into account the impacts of the climate transition on workers, communities, consumers and citizens, if we want to achieve a rapid change towards a low-carbon economy. Recognising the urgency and the key role that the private sector must play in financing the transition, we decided to integrate the social and territorial dimension of the Just Transition into our new global fixed-income impact bond strategy (SFDR 9). We invest 100% in sustainable bonds which we have identified with a solid Just Transition profile, according to our proprietary methodologies.