Covered bonds are an essential financing instrument for banks in the euro area.

ECB monetary tightening affects the covered bond market directly with the unwinding of CBPP3  holdings and indirectly with the TLTRO  repayment (freeing covered bond collateral).

Mortgage loans are the main collateral for covered bonds. Housing has been hit by higher rates so that bank lending to households for house purchase shrunk.

Covered bond supply should slow reflecting declining lending flows.

Covered bond spreads tend to compare favorably to other similarly low-risk asset classes.

The covered bond asset class

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    Axel Botte

    Head of Market Strategy

Equity markets: earnings driving the rally, vulnerabilities to monitor
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INSIGHTS MARKETS
At the start of the last quarter, equity markets continued to rise despite a turbulent environment: crisis in the Middle East, sovereign debt tensions and rise in long-term interest rates. Ostrum AM's scenario from last November is largely borne out: continued rise, volatile first half, year driven by the rebound in profits, even if the paths taken were not those anticipated.In an uncertain environment, earnings growth has become the main performance driver, while valuation multiples are contracting. The question is no longer about the direction of the markets but about the strength of the drivers: investment cycle in AI, record profitability, markets’ ability to absorb the rise in interest rates.Source: Ostrum Asset Management, October 2026. The analyses and opinions expressed in this document represent the view of the named authors. They are issued on the date indicated, are subject to change and should not be interpreted as having any contractual value. 
10/21/2026
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MyStratWeekly – 19th October 2026
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Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.
10/20/2026
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 Ostrum AM Perspectives October 2026
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Each month we share the conclusions from the monthly strategy investment committee which provides a summary of Ostrum AM's views on the economy, strategy and markets.
10/19/2026
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