Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.

Topic of the week: Towards a rapid return of Greek debt to investment grade

  • The Prime Minister has a good chance of obtaining an absolutemajority in the second round of the legislative elections on 25th June;
  • He will thus continue the reforms and investments necessary to benefit from Next Generation EU funds;
  • Sustained growth, fiscal prudence and the very long maturity of sovereign debt bode well for the continued fall in the public debt-to GDP ratio;
  • This suggests a rapid return of Greek debt to investment grade. Investors have begun to position themselves in this direction. Moody's will speak on June 9.

Market review:  Tensions ease on markets

  • Disinflation quickens in Europe;
  • Solid job gains in the US;
  • 10-Yr note yields rally to 3.60% before a late sell-off on Friday;
  • Stocks rally late last week with VIX plunging below 15%.

Axel Botte's and Aline Goupil-Raguénès's podcast

  • Review of the week
  • Towards a rapid return of Greek debt in quality investment category

Chart of the week

msci-em-fx-index-and-used-cny-inverted

The US equity market remains driven by the theme of artificial intelligence.The FANG index, which includes 10 leading stocks in the sector, has risen 64% since the start of the year. The broad S&P 500 index gained nearly 10% thanks to the contribution of these mega-cap stocks when in reality most stocks did not show any gain this year. Bear in mind that concentrated performance on a few stocks could spark market sell-off in the event of disappointment in US tech.

Figure of the week

For every dollar invested in fossil fuels, $1.70 now goes to clean energy technologies. Five years ago that ratio was 1:1.

MyStratWeekly : Market views and strategy

Download MyStratWeekly – June 6th 2023
  • Axel Botte

    Axel Botte

    Head of markets strategy

  • Zouhoure Bousbih

    Zouhoure Bousbih

    Emerging countries strategist

  • Aline Goupil-Raguénès

    Aline Goupil-Raguénès

    Developed countries strategist

Reading time : 15 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
Covered bonds are an essential financing instrument for banks in the euro area. ECB monetary tightening affects the covered bond market directly with the unwinding of CBPP3  holdings and indirectly with the TLTRO  repayment (freeing covered bond collateral). Mortgage loans are the main collateral for covered bonds. Housing has been hit by higher rates so that bank lending to households for house purchase shrunk. Covered bond supply should slow reflecting declining lending flows. Covered bond spreads tend to compare favorably to other similarly low-risk asset classes.
04/26/2024
Reserved for pros
Podcast
Reading time : 30 min.
NEWS MARKETS
Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.
04/23/2024
Reserved for pros
Reading time : 15 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
In 2023, equity markets experienced a significant shift with the outperformance of Growth and Cyclical segments, driven by factors such as resilient economic activity, decreasing inflation, and expanded valuation multiples due to the surge in sentiment around generative AI.
04/17/2024