Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Stéphane Déo, Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.

Topic of the week: Greece: the comeback!

  • Greece’s rating continues to improve. This is anything but a surprise;
  • The trajectory owes much to cyclical aspects and in particular to the rebound from the crisis of the last decade;
  • The legacy is heavy, but the debt trajectory is one of the most ambitious and therefore justifies the improvement of the rating;
  • There are also developments, particularly on the ESG front, that suggest that Greece has changed dramatically.

Market review: Higher inflation weighs on markets

  • Markets reeling from accelerating US inflation;
  • They anticipate higher key rates for longer;
  • Strong tensions on sovereign yields, especially on the short end;
  • Equity markets record their worst week of the year.ally.

Zouhoure Bousbih's podcast

  • What to remember from February 20 week;
  • Is the spike in food prices behind us?

Chart of the week

europe-natural-gas-price-vs-carbon-price-6-months-future-contract

The price of carbon emissions (improperly called “pollution rights”) exceeded €100 per tonne for the first time last week.
The good news is that this price increase is a strong incentive to decarbonize the economy. It is becoming more and more expensive to use fossil fuels. Good news in the long term.

The bad news is that this increase is partly due to the fact that the gas shortage has led to a significant use of coal and therefore to significant purchases on carbon emissions. Bad news in the short term.

Figure of the week

The word “inflation” is used 94 times in the Fed’s minutes.

The word “recession” 4 times.

MyStratWeekly : Market views and strategy

Download MyStratWeekly – February 28th 2023
  • Stéphane Déo

    Stéphane Déo

    Head of markets strategy

  • Axel Botte

    Axel Botte

    Global strategist

  • Zouhoure Bousbih

    Zouhoure Bousbih

    Emerging countries strategist

  • Aline Goupil-Raguénès

    Aline Goupil-Raguénès

    Developed countries strategist

Reading time : 15 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
Covered bonds are an essential financing instrument for banks in the euro area. ECB monetary tightening affects the covered bond market directly with the unwinding of CBPP3  holdings and indirectly with the TLTRO  repayment (freeing covered bond collateral). Mortgage loans are the main collateral for covered bonds. Housing has been hit by higher rates so that bank lending to households for house purchase shrunk. Covered bond supply should slow reflecting declining lending flows. Covered bond spreads tend to compare favorably to other similarly low-risk asset classes.
04/26/2024
Reserved for pros
Podcast
Reading time : 30 min.
NEWS MARKETS
Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.
04/23/2024
Reserved for pros
Reading time : 15 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
In 2023, equity markets experienced a significant shift with the outperformance of Growth and Cyclical segments, driven by factors such as resilient economic activity, decreasing inflation, and expanded valuation multiples due to the surge in sentiment around generative AI.
04/17/2024