Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.

Topic of the week: The commercial real estate crisis in the Eurozone and financial risk

  • The price of commercial real estate in the Eurozone has dropped significantly due to the sharp increase in interest rates;
  • Structural factors are also at play with the teleworking, online commerce, and the demand for buildings with better energy efficiency;
  • The outlook, while slightly improving, remains degraded;
  • For the ECB, commercial real estate represents one of the most significant risks to financial stability in the Eurozone;
  • Its focus is on real estate investment funds, which represent 40% of the commercial real estate market;
  • In the event of market stress and significant investor redemption requests, open-ended real estate investment funds (80% of the funds) are exposed to a liquidity risk that could pose a systemic risk to the commercial real estate market and impact the financial stability of the Eurozone.

Market review: Beyond appearances

  • Fed rules out a rate hike and will slow the pace of QT;
  • Job growth and wages moderating in the US;
  • T-note yields dip below 4.50%;
  • BoJ intervenes in markets to stem yen weakness

Figure of the week

9

It’s, in trillions of yen, the estimated amount of the BoJ's interventions last week (unconfirmed by it) to try to stem the yen's decline (5.5 trillion yen on April 29th and 3.5 trillion yen on May 1st).

MyStratWeekly : Market views and strategy

Download Download MyStratWeekly – May 7th 2024
  • Axel Botte
    Axel Botte

    Head of markets strategy

  • Zouhoure Bousbih
    Zouhoure Bousbih

    Emerging countries strategist

  • Aline Goupil-Raguénès
    Aline Goupil-Raguénès

    Developed countries strategist

Ostrum AM Perspectives March 2026
Reading time : 15 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
Each month we share the conclusions from the monthly strategy investment committee which provides a summary of Ostrum AM's views on the economy, strategy and markets.
03/23/2026
Reserved for pros
European banks: still an attractive sector despite an uncertain environment
Reading time : 5 min.
INSIGHTS MARKETS
European banks have reported robust 2025 earnings. European bank bonds have been strongly supported by these solid fundamentals and favorable technical factors, leading to a significant compression of spreads, especially on subordinated debt.We believe the current fundamental momentum will carry through into 2026. We anticipate net interest income growth potential from the second half of the year, once the central bank rate cuts implemented in 2025 have been largely absorbed by banks.Consequently, we retain a positive outlook for the banking sector. We believe banks are favorably positioned within an economic landscape marked by, on one hand, a relatively stable macroeconomic baseline scenario, and on the other, an environment replete with numerous underlying risks.Furthermore, despite stretched valuations and a riskier context, the decline in issuance and the sector's resilience should limit downside risk and support carry. Opportunities remain through mergers and acquisitions, regulation (AT1), and lower capital structure investments.
03/19/2026
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MyStratWeekly – March 17th 2026
Podcast
Reading time : 30 min.
NEWS MARKETS
Read our market review and find out all about our theme of the week in MyStratWeekly and its podcast with our experts Axel Botte, Aline Goupil-Raguénès and Zouhoure Bousbih.
03/17/2026
Reserved for pros